Major report suggests Inverclyde was ‘Coronavirus capital’ of Scotland ‘by chance’

An important report of Covid-19 deaths in Inverclyde, whose mortality rate was three times that of the Scottish average, was "accidental".

A report by NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde found that the "most likely" explanation for the high proportion of deaths in "Scotland's coronavirus capital" is due to the pandemic that "swept through" Inverclyde earlier than anywhere else in Scotland.

The report ruled out chronic urban disadvantages and above-average numbers of older people why deaths in the region were well above the national average.

READ MORE: Scotland's & # 39; Covid Capital & # 39; Inverclyde has five times as many deaths as New Zealand

The study, which included contributions from the Inverclyde Council, Inverclyde HSCP, Public Health Scotland and the National Records of Scotland, examined a number of hypotheses related to age, deprivation and "an earlier date of persistent transmission" and used various tests Data collected during the pandemic.

Louise Long, executive director of Inverclyde Health & Social Care Partnership (HSCP), said: "Age, gender and disadvantage are unlikely to explain the pattern of COVID-19 deaths in Inverclyde compared to NHS GGC."

Report authors John O & # 39; Dowd, clinical director of the NHS GGC, and John Burton, information manager for public health, said Inverclyde appeared to have bad luck early in the health emergency and that socio-economic disadvantage has a profound impact on COVID. 19 Related Disease and Death ”.

The report read: "It can be seen that both hospitalizations and COVID-19 deaths are significantly higher in people living in the poorest of circumstances compared to people in the wealthiest areas."

"This analysis is difficult to do at the partnership level due to the smaller number."

Mr. O & # 39; Dowd and Mr. Burton explain: "At the start of the pandemic, the Inverclyde SMR (standardized mortality rate) is much higher than that of NHS GGC, but the difference at that time was not statistically significant compared to NHS GGC prices.

"So we can see that with age, gender, and disadvantage standardization, although a higher mortality rate persists, the difference may have been accidental."

The Inverclyde death report from Covid-19 shows that the weekly mortality rate peaked in the week from April 6 and 32 people lost their lives.

A total of 112 people have died in the region as a result of the coronavirus.

Analysis of all the information available for the report shows that Inverclyde has increased earlier compared to other areas.

The report said, "It is considered likely that rates were much higher than recorded at the start of the pandemic based on test criteria and availability."


READ MORE: Coronavirus: How Inverclyde became the most affected area in Scotland

"There is evidence that the positive COVID-19 test rate in Inverclyde was higher than in other areas."

The report adds: "The most likely scenario that explains the excessive deaths in Inverclyde is that the pandemic in Inverclyde has occurred earlier compared to other areas of Scotland and NHS GGC.

"This fits in with the higher positive rates of COVID-19 tests in Inverclyde and the higher admissions rates for patients with COVID-19 in Inverclyde.

"This most likely reflects the early nature of the Inverclyde pandemic and a greater propensity to allow cases where there was no experience of their clinical needs early in the pandemic.

"There is no evidence that quality of care or access to care in Inverclyde was poor since admission rates were higher than in the rest of the NHS GGC, and there was no difference in mortality rates from those in Inverclyde with COVID 19 compared to NHS GGC overall. "

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