An employment crisis is projected to hit up to a million young people in a matter of weeks, creating a new generation of “Covid” who will struggle to find work, according to alarming new analysis of the likely economic impact of the pandemic.
With tensions growing between Westminster and Greater Manchester-led city regions over attempts to impose further Covid restrictions, Chancellor Rishi Sunak is facing increasing pressure to provide more support to young people trying to reach the first step in the corporate ladder to grant.
Research by one of the UK's leading labor market experts, Paul Gregg, Professor of Economic and Social Policy at Bath University, shows that nearly 1 million vulnerable 16- to 24-year-olds who have neither a full-time education nor a job will if the vacation program ends this month, you face significant obstacles to work.
The warning comes when the Archbishop of Canterbury, Justin Welby, joined the debate and called for a program to promote full employment that he called a "question of conscience." He said, "It is a fundamental matter of respect and love for our neighbors that in our nation the economy should, among other things, serve to do the work for all."
The new study, due to be released Monday, finds that the end of vacation, the shortage of new jobs, and the arrival of high school and college graduates in the labor market will all offer dire prospects for young people unless more support is offered. It warns that the Prime Minister's "guarantee of opportunity" for young people undergoing training or internships "falls far short of what is needed".
On Sunday, Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, who opposes calls to include his region under the new Tier 3 restrictions, will call on Parliament to step in to break the impasse with the regions by establishing a fair system Support is created for people whose employers have to close their businesses due to infection control measures.
Further evidence of growing tension within the Conservative Party emerged after it became known that 20 MPs from core Conservative seats in southern England wrote to Labor Leader Kier Starmer and Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham asking them to speak with the Government cooperate regional policy. Starmer has asked the government to impose a two-week lockout on the circuit breaker.
The letter, signed by Jerome Mayhew, Norfolk MPsays national lockdown is the wrong approach. It is said that companies in Manchester would close and jobs would be lost regardless of a national or regional lockdown. It is further alleged that a national lockdown would cause tens of thousands of job losses in the southern constituencies of Tory, even though most are areas of low infection prevalence. Steve Double, Damian Green, Dan Poulter and Anne-Marie Morris are other Tories to be signed.
The letter sparked sharp reactions from other Tories representing constituencies in the Greater Manchester area. William Wragg, MP for Hazel Grove, answered: “May I politely ask that colleagues look into their own constituencies. I wouldn't want any stricter restrictions on their constituent parts. We are ready to work constructively to improve the situation in Greater Manchester and ask for the short time and space to do so. "
Christian Wakeford, MP for Bury South, said bluntly: "Interventions by colleagues who do not understand the situation are neither desirable nor helpful."
Bolton MP Chris Green, who resigned as junior government minister last week, said: “I never thought that Norfolk affairs should depend on what could be of use to parts of Lancashire, Cheshire and Yorkshire. Science is important, but this No. 10 approved message isn't. "
Write in the observerFormer Prime Minister Gordon Brown – one of the first to call for a vacation program at the start of the pandemic – says it is "hard to believe" that a million young people will be in dire need of help in just two weeks. He warns of a "so bleak and neglected Covid generation like the YTS (Youth Training Scheme) generation of the 1980s".
Brown adds: “Youth unemployment will continue to exceed 20% in Northern, Midlands, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland and in the city centers. The young people there need local and national government working together to help them. But it is precisely the areas with the greatest need that are protesting that the center is least listening to them. "
Meanwhile, Conservative MPs are also calling for help to workers and businesses under Tier 2 restrictions who are not eligible for the assistance offered to the highest risk areas. Local executives and Boris Johnson remain at odds over the level of financial support to companies affected by tighter restrictions.
On Saturday, Senior Tories in Essex, which was rated Tier 2, called for more assistance. A letter to the Prime Minister signed by MPs including Sir Bernard Jenkin, Chairman of the Liaison Committee, Robert Halfon, Chairman of the Education Committee, and Eleanor Laing, Deputy Spokesperson, stated: “Companies in our constituencies are very clear about the impacts ( of) Tier 2 restrictions, particularly in the hospitality industry. Many fear that they will have to close for good. Please review the amount of financial support for companies under these restrictions. This is necessary to avoid permanent economic damage to the local and national economies, and so must other regions of England. "
The letter is privately supported by several ministers. Jenkin said: “We are facing a much better situation regarding Covid than in the spring. We protected the business back then. Why on earth are we letting companies go bankrupt now? The government just needs to provide the support to prevent unnecessary layoffs and bankruptcies due to recent lockdown restrictions. "
The UK coronavirus death toll rose 150 to 43,579 on Saturday, with 16,171 more positive cases announced.
Senior researchers warn that the disputes over restrictions come at a critical time. Graham Medley, member of the government's scientific advisory group on emergencies (Sage) and chairman of the modeling subcommittee, told the observer The debate on the extent of the restrictions should have taken place this summer. "The danger is that it will happen now, while we are no more than two weeks away from the hospitals in the northwest, which are in the same condition as in early April," he said. "It feels a little tight because these things need to be resolved very quickly."
Burnham will call on Parliament on Sunday to agree a three-point plan that will provide a "fair vacation" of 80% of wages for those whose businesses are forced to close under Tier 3 restrictions. He will also require that 80% of the income of self-employed people such as taxi drivers and security guards be guaranteed. His third call will be for a vastly improved business support program. "As it is now, Tier 3 winter will be unimaginable for low-wage earners," said Burnham.
A mayor spokesman said that if Johnson enforced Tier 3 restrictions on the area, Burnham would encourage people to abide by the new regulations but would make it clear that he disagreed with them and found them unfair. On Saturday, Downing Street said it was open to further talks with Burnham but the mayor's office said none had been agreed, although it would be ready when an offer and time were made.
A Treasury Department spokesman admitted that young people would be particularly hard hit by the crisis, adding: “We have helped hundreds of thousands of young people find good jobs through the £ 2 billion Kickstart program and Work trainer invests in increasing the number of apprenticeships, internships and internships and you continue to help unemployed people of all ages to get back to work as part of our multi-million dollar program for targeted support in career entry work. Our focus has been on helping those in need from the start – and analysis shows that the youngest and poorest people have benefited most from our initial economic interventions. That support will continue as we seek to revitalize, better rebuild the economy and create, protect and support jobs. "
(tagsToTranslate) Coronavirus (t) News from Great Britain (t) Young people (t) Youth unemployment (t) Unemployment (t) Work & career (t) Society